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Written by Larry Sobal, CEO, Appleton Cardiology Associates
The economy needs long-term care, domestic carmakers need life support and a
whole host of chronic financial ills are plaguing American families.
So while President-elect Barack Obama's list of domestic fixes may require
major surgery, perhaps no treatment will require a miracle cure as his vow to
overhaul the health care system.
Coupled with Democratic control in both houses of Congress, Obama has raised
expectations for comprehensive health system reform to their highest levels
since the early 1990s when the Democrats last found themselves in a similar
position. In order to be successful, there are three major questions to be
answered. First, can the Democratic Party reach consensus on reform — not to
mention finding any bipartisan support? Second, will there be money to pay for
reform in light of other urgent economic needs? Lastly, will the public and
employers support the plan?
Let's discuss the first challenge. A variety of Democratic leaders are
already jockeying to position their health reform plan as the basis for change.
This suggests that a Democratic Congress isn't going to simply rally behind
whatever Obama wants.
It took all of a week after the election for the first proposal to emerge:
Sen. Max Baucus's Plan For Health Reform. As chair of the Senate Finance
Committee, Baucus oversees taxation and about half of all government spending.
This puts him in a unique position to drive change.
Don't let a malignant brain tumor make you think Ted Kennedy has taken a back
seat on health reform. He has announced plans to move ahead early next year with
his own proposed bill for universal health care. Kennedy actually has a head
start, as he began working on reform legislation many months ago and claims his
personal legacy for America will be to lead the reform process.
Let's not rule out Tom Daschle. As Obama's appointed Secretary of Health and
Human Services, he has recently outlined a plan. The former senate majority
leader understands the parliamentary tricks and has the Washington experience to
line up necessary votes.
We should expect others to emerge, such as Sen. Ron Wyden, whose Healthy
Americans Act brings another Democratic plan to a crowded table. The key will be
whether Obama is able to bring focus and clarity to a single plan, and garner
some Republican support, or will the different Democratic approaches bog down in
bureaucratic debate.
Now for the second challenge. The next Congress will inherit a $10 trillion
debt, a Medicare system headed for bankruptcy in the next decade, a federal
budget with at least a $400 billion deficit and a long list of other financial
problem spots all crying for funding. All of the health reforms plans on the
table have substantial costs. Initial projects peg Baucus' proposal at $100
billion in its first year alone. The key to this challenge may eventually lie in
one theoretical question — does failing to fix our broken health system cost
more than the cost of reform?
The last challenge, regarding public support, will be the most compelling
debate of Obama's term. How committed we are to having no uninsured? Do we feel
that government centralization is better or necessary? Can we accept more
mandates? All of these will be fascinating discussions for our nation.
Historically, Americans have been conservative about their health care
because people with coverage are extremely nervous about changing what they
already have. Employers will be very nervous about a plan that might mandate
them to provide more insurance in an era where they are struggling to
survive.
Without a doubt, there is a lot of energy and momentum being built on the
subject of health reform. Right now, it seems everyone is in favor of
reform.
Eventually, all these challenges boil down to whether we are all ready to
change, or is our definition of change one that only involves somebody else?
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